STOCKS AND STATS

STOCKS AND STATS

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We use Data Science Methodology for Investing. Our Episodes can be considered as little brain snacks to the interested investor.

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Episodes(3)

3

Was Warren Buffett just LUCKY? - Stocks and Stats #3

Season 1Sep 23, 20227 min

If stock returns were completely random, all good fund managers would be good due to luck, not skill. And their stories would belong to the fantasy section of a book store (at best), including the books about Warren Buffett. Here, we will discuss if Buffett and other successful fund managers were ju

2

Never use THIS distribution when modelling Stock Market Returns - Stocks and Stats #2

Season 1Sep 23, 20227 min

When modelling stock market returns, every data scientist has to answer how stock returns are distributed. The “normal” answer would be: They are normally distributed. However, research has shown that stock returns are probably not normally distributed, because large jumps in stock prices occur freq

1

Why Mean Reversion of PE-Ratios is WRONG - Stocks and Stats #1

Season 1Sep 23, 202210 min

Asset prices or pricing ratios revert to their historical mean. Today I will show you under what conditions mean reversion can work and why its simple approach usually leads to wrong conclusions about the pricing of a share.